File:StratDem Proposed Russia-Ukraine Fix.png: Difference between revisions

January 29, 2022

Strategic Demands

• https://strategicdemands.com/a-proposed-ukraine-fix-act-now-to-expand-the-inf-agreement/

GreenPolicy360's associate, Strategic Demands, uses its years of work addresses nuclear weapons issues, treaties and agreements to propose a way to avoid war as Russia states publicly its perceived vulnerability to NATO expansion and new deployments of next generation, 'modernized' nuclear capabilities.

With realpolitik in mind, Strategic Demands has proposed a ‘fix’ to the Ukraine crisis, a confrontation that publicly seems to be without resolution. We believe security is at the center of the dispute. We propose a mutual security that goes to a core threat of nuclear weapons and the need now for an expanded INF agreement.

and.... as diplomacy and negotiations break down

Lost opportunity for nuclear arms control agreements and 'mutual security'

• https://www.greenpolicy360.net/w/Nuclear_Nonproliferation

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February 29, 2022

The Ukraine-Russia Crisis and Threats of Nuclear Weapons Use

War in Ukraine: Two Nations and Disaster

February 28, 2022

Washington Post | Opinion: Putin’s nuclear threats remind us arms control is dangerously unfinished business

• https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/02/28/putins-nuclear-threats-remind-us-arms-control-is-dangerously-unfinished-business/

February 24, 2022

• https://strategicdemands.com/russia-war-in-the-ukraine/

(AXIOS)

Rarely in our lifetimes has the world heard more chilling and ominous words: Vladimir Putin said nations "will face consequences greater than any you have faced in history" if they interfere in his invasion of Ukraine.

Why it matters: This is a rare overt threat of nuclear attack...

Putin said in announcing the invasion:

To anyone who would consider interfering from the outside: If you do, you will face consequences greater than any you have faced in history. All relevant decisions have been taken. I hope you hear me."

(CNN)

After Russian President Vladimir Putin announced he had ordered military action in Ukraine early Thursday, he threatened "those who may be tempted to intervene" on Ukraine's behalf.

"Now a few important, very important words for those who may be tempted to intervene in ongoing events from the outside," Putin said.

"Whoever tries to interfere with us, and even more so to create threats to our country, to our people, should know that Russia's response will be immediate and will lead you to such consequences as you have never experienced in your history. We are ready for any development of events. All necessary decisions in this regard have been made. I hope that I will be heard."

(NYT)

In a rambling speech early Thursday, full of festering historical grievances and accusations of a relentless Western plot against his country, Mr. Putin reminded the world that Russia “remains one of the most powerful nuclear states” with “a certain advantage in several cutting edge weapons.”

In effect, Mr. Putin’s speech, intended to justify the invasion, seemed to come close to threatening nuclear war.

In the context of Russia’s nuclear arsenal, Mr. Putin said, “there should be no doubt that any potential aggressor will face defeat and ominous consequences should it directly attack our country.”

(POLITICO)

"Suddenly, the 'unthinkable' is unfolding before our eyes." For context, "new deployments of nuclear weapons in Eastern Europe could station US and Russian nuclear weapons closer than at any time in history... this would not be a second Cuban missile crisis but a far more volatile situation."

(THE TELEGRAPH)

Vladimir Putin appears to threaten nuclear strikes if West launches reprisal attacks

Russian president warns that any attempt to interfere in Ukraine conflict will provoke a response ‘never seen in history’

In a stark reminder of Russia’s nuclear power, he warned that “no one should have any doubts that a direct attack on our country will lead to destruction and horrible consequences for any potential aggressor”.

The address amounted to a declaration of war on Ukraine, with the aerial bombardment and invasion following shortly afterwards.

References

24 Feb. 2022

• https://Twitter.Com/Telegraph/Status/1496802689669292039

• https://twitter.com/telegraph/status/1496802689669292039

Mendick, Robert. “Vladimir Putin Appears to Threaten Nuclear Strikes If West Launches Reprisal Attacks.”

The Telegraph, 24 Feb. 2022

• https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2022/02/24/vladimir-putin-appears-threaten-nuclear-strikes-west-launches/.

Putin Declares Military Offensive in Ukraine as Invasion Starts

• https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_5YeX8eCLgA

Russia Pushes Into Area Around Chernobyl, Ukraine Officials Say.

The New York Times

• https://www.nytimes.com/live/2022/02/24/world/russia-attacks-ukraine

Давление и Шантаж: Путин – о Переделе Мира

• https://smotrim.ru/article/2681485

• https://web.archive.org/web/20220224140533/https:/smotrim.ru/article/2681485.

“Правда На Нашей Стороне: Что Сказал в Обращении к Россиянам Владимир Путин

• https://smotrim.ru/article/2681347

More

A BBC and NYT fact check: Nukes, Proliferation and the Ukraine crisis --

• https://www.bbc.com/news/60477712

• https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/23/us/politics/putin-ukraine-nuclear-weapons.html

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February 19, 2022

Nuclear 'Drills' as Russian Forces Hold 'Firing Exercises'

Update / February 2

In a story released early today by elpais.com, presented as an “exclusive”, we are offered an inside look at U.S. – Russia Ukrainian negotiations… We now have to point to Strategic Demands earlier proffered diplomatic solution — to focus on mutual security as our StratDem logo tag states “Security is Indivisible”. Perchance mutual security has found resonance.

In paragraph 4 of the elpais.com ‘exclusive’ article a reference is made to the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) and goes on to say “Washington is prepared to discuss the concept of ‘indivisibility of security'”.

• https://english.elpais.com/usa/2022-02-02/us-offers-disarmament-measures-to-russia-in-exchange-for-a-deescalation-of-military-threat-in-ukraine.html

The main difference between both texts is that Washington is prepared to discuss the concept of “indivisibility of security,” which the OSCE approved at its summit in Nur-Sultan, Kazakhstan in 2010. Moscow has included this in the first article in its draft deal, using this principle to allege that the eventual entry of Ukraine into NATO would affect its security. The text from the US warns that it does not share the Russian point of view and notes that the concept of indivisibility of security “cannot be viewed in isolation.” Even so, it expresses willingness to deal with the “respective interpretations” of the same. And it points out that “the United States and Russia also reaffirmed the inherent right of each and every participating state to be free to choose or change its security arrangements, including treaties of alliance.”

Later in the day, U.S. spokesperson John Kirby referred to the negotiation documents written about by elpais.com and stated the U.S. willingness to negotiate with Russia. Mutual security, ‘security is indivisible’ as a principal is on the table and in negotiation!

• https://english.elpais.com/usa/2022-02-02/pentagon-says-documents-published-by-el-pais-show-us-is-willing-to-negotiate-with-russia.html

Pentagon spokesman John F. Kirby said on Wednesday that the confidential documents published exclusively by EL PAÍS – and which included the responses by Washington and NATO to Russia’s requests for security guarantees – show that the United States has the willingness to negotiate with the Kremlin in order to solve the crisis in Ukraine.

Kirby mentioned the documents in his opening remarks ahead of a news conference at the Department of Defense. “We did not make this document public, but now that it is, it confirms to the entire world what we’ve always been saying: there is no daylight between our public statements and our private discussions.”

StratDem continues to advocate for solutions that move nations toward mutual security and nuclear nonproliferation. This confrontation at the border of Ukraine provides in its charges of insecurity and claims of aggression comes an opportunity to move toward broad-range solutions that address nuclear and potentially cataclysmic challenges.

Amid the rattling of swords and ‘modernization’ of nuclear forces, the forward positioning of ground- and air-based tactical and nuclear weapons, comes a generational opportunity to drawdown and step back from mutual nuclear insecurity.

• https://strategicdemands.com/a-proposed-ukraine-fix-act-now-to-expand-the-inf-agreement/

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